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Anchoring Bias

Podcast Transcript: My stance on mid-cap funds has been bearish in a while. After the dream run between 2013 and 2017, I started to feel very uneasy about them from September 2017. I had been advising clients to invest in the very funds when the valuations were softer and definitely…

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Play It Safe

“Large caps look inexpensive compared to small and midcaps.” A value investing peer said this in a rather complaining tone. To investors who made most of their wealth buying small and midcaps, these are troubling times indeed. The situation has remained so for the past year. Investors have been struggling…

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The Wall of Worry

Interest rates are a great leveller. They always set the trends of the equity markets. But we have two sets of rates to contend with, domestic and global rates.  Domestic interest rate trends are constantly shifting and puzzling. Just when the trend seems set to rise, something happens which softens…

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Keep Your Chin Up

When markets correct sharply, where are you looking?  This question assumes special significance as the indices are down 10%+ from this year’s highs. And the lows don’t seem imminently near. Effectively, we are now in a market where everybody has overplayed their hand. And, when you have overplayed your hand,…

Preparation Hour

The Indian markets started 2018 with an exaggerated sense of optimism. Clearly, headline numbers were lagging the markets. As the market moves towards the end of a financial year, that exaggeration is swiftly disappearing and getting replaced by fear. We could see an overreaction on the other side too. And,…

Play Safe Now

A not so innocuous news report by a global brokerage set us thinking about where we are headed as a market. ” $1.2 billion waiting to get into midcaps says CLSA”. The logic behind this premise interested us even more than the actual premise. The premise was that mutual fund…

Trend Reversal

The recent weeks are seeing the trend turn in several areas. Investment flows are looking very different with the persistent selling of FIIs in Indian equity. News flows are also not looking great in February. For instance, first we had the budget levied long term capital gains tax on equities.…

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