The extension of single party rule in India is now clearly off our radar. The 2019 general elections will be won on the strength of alliances. Obviously, the ruling party will need to reboot its strategy while the opposition suddenly seems to have begun its preparation earlier. As investors, we…
The FIIs are back. November clearly showed a change of mind. The DIIs continue to receive money from domestic investors. It is in this scenario that we go into the last phase of state elections. If the verdict in the five states is not too adverse, we could see a…
Investment Strategy: As we move into a rising interest rate scenario, the focus shifts to high-quality low-volatility investments. Our strategy has been to construct a layered portfolio by locking into high-quality investments at different yields. At this juncture, short-term AAA investments make the most sense. Contact us if you would…
The rapid decline in oil, over the past few weeks, has really mixed it up for the markets. Investors who took a certain view of the macros just a month ago when oil hit $85 are now forced to hurriedly review their position. This must be quite harrowing as investment…
Have you ever tended to a garden? As a gardener, you would ensure that your plants get enough sunlight, water, and nutrition. But, there is an inherent expectation that your garden will flourish. Imagine you received a handful of seeds. You were told that these seeds would eventually grow into…
Recency bias hurts the most when a bull market ends. We tend to buy investment ideas which did very well in the recent past. This happens across the board. The stocks in favour remain the ones which hit recent highs and gained the most in the past year. We tend…
Podcast Transcript Every portfolio often needs validation. Our ideas are constructed in a particular context and we find that soon thereafter the market context changes dramatically. My own experience from previous bull runs is what comes to mind. When we come out of a bull market, we tend to think…
Podcast Transcript: Clearly, our markets have walked into a crisis we could have avoided. It was in good measure… our own making. Too much liquidity chasing stocks had made markets way too expensive. But, investors kept pouring money into SIPs. And the markets refused to correct despite FII’s selling…
What would you ideally need to retire? A steady flow of income, a sizable corpus, and a sense of financial security. Imagine you saved consistently but invested predominantly in real estate. Upon retirement, you would find that while you were still well off you might be strapped for cash. Today,…
A relatively insignificant event triggered a massive scare in Indian financials on Friday. But, the story does not lie there. It lies in the institutional imperatives clashing with individual investor interests. When there is a problem, either of solvency, liquidity or of risks, it is the bigger investors who bail out…
“Prophecy is a good line of business, but it is full of risks.” ~Mark Twain These words ring a bell as we approach the end of a decade after Lehman. Predicting almost never brings glory to the person doing it. Even if, by the twist of fate,…
Podcast Transcript: I met a friend after long years. He had been around the world, worked in many countries, and seen the best and worst of the oil booms. In fact, he worked in that sector and was slowly getting ready to retire. We go a long way…