பொருளாதாரத்தில் மாற்றங்கள் என்பது வாரத்திற்கு ஒருமுறை நிகழக்கூடியது அல்ல; மெதுவாக இயங்கும் ஒரு தொடர் நிகழ்வு. இதனை நாம் உணரும்போது நம்மிடையே உற்சாகம் குறையலாம். ஆனால், இத்தகைய மெதுவான மாற்றங்கள் பொருளாதாரத்தை சிறப்பான இடத்தை நோக்கி நகற்றுகின்றனவா, மோசமான இடத்தை நோக்கி நகற்றுகின்றனவா என்பதை கூர்ந்து கவனிக்க வேண்டும். பங்குக் குறீயீடுகளினால் பொருளாதார முன்னேற்றம் ஏற்படுவதாக முதலீட்டாளர்கள் அடிக்கடி எண்ணிகொள்கின்றனர். கண்டிப்பாக, அப்படி எண்ணுவது சரியான வழி அல்ல. தற்போதுள்ள…
An election year throws up a series of questions on the outcome, approach, and tactics of political parties as they race to the finish line. Uncertainty looms large around these questions. Investors lose their appetite for risk when they are forced to face an ambiguous future. So, the market tends…
The rapid decline in oil, over the past few weeks, has really mixed it up for the markets. Investors who took a certain view of the macros just a month ago when oil hit $85 are now forced to hurriedly review their position. This must be quite harrowing as investment…
Podcast Transcript There is more to investing than just generating returns. There has to be a larger purpose. Investing is not a game we play to prove our self-worth. It is not something that can be done casually. But, most of us associate investing with just making money. In…
Podcast Transcript: Clearly, our markets have walked into a crisis we could have avoided. It was in good measure… our own making. Too much liquidity chasing stocks had made markets way too expensive. But, investors kept pouring money into SIPs. And the markets refused to correct despite FII’s selling…
A relatively insignificant event triggered a massive scare in Indian financials on Friday. But, the story does not lie there. It lies in the institutional imperatives clashing with individual investor interests. When there is a problem, either of solvency, liquidity or of risks, it is the bigger investors who bail out…
Rising oil and dollar mean only one thing for the Indian economy – trouble in the near-term. Business fortunes and purchasing power are closely intertwined with oil and the dollar. Inflation could rear its ugly head if both oil and dollar become difficult to manage for the government. Stock markets…
The rupee now stands at 72 against the US Dollar. This is an unprecedented low. So far, neither the RBI nor the Government has aggressively stepped in. Is there an investment opportunity for you? When the rupee weakens, the markets react. The yield on the 10 Year Government…
Podcast Transcript How we develop conviction matters. Everybody agrees that the quality of conviction will determine many things- how we translate conviction into investments, how we allocate money into an investment, and how we hold onto the investment. Generating conviction, growing conviction, preserving conviction and translating conviction are four…
Risks and returns are always meant to be viewed holistically. But, how many of us do that? An interesting incident only reminded us how little people respect risks. An investor had been invested in equities for the three-year period between 2014 and 2017. At the beginning of 2018, just as oil…
Podcast Transcript: When markets reach all time highs we are always told SIPs are the best way to invest in equity. Just starting an SIP is seems as a formula for success. Initially, this works extremely well. But, when markets peak out, the problems begin. While all of know…
Market cycles tend to constantly throw challenges at investors. When markets are at cyclical highs, it is extremely difficult to sell and exit. When markets trade near cyclical lows, taking a bold investment call is near impossible. When the markets trade on an uptrend, we tend to keep buying more…
