“In the short run, a market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” – Benjamin Graham Where are markets headed in the post-election scenario?
The extension of single party rule in India is now clearly off our radar. The 2019 general elections will be won on the strength of alliances. Obviously, the ruling party will need to reboot its strategy while the opposition suddenly seems to have begun its preparation earlier. As investors, we…
Podcast Transcript 2018 is turning out to be a difficult year for many among us. Most investors have not seen their portfolios stay above cost. Most portfolios have lost money. This very much applies to mutual fund portfolios as well. In fact, the losses seem to be higher for…
Podcast Transcript There is more to investing than just generating returns. There has to be a larger purpose. Investing is not a game we play to prove our self-worth. It is not something that can be done casually. But, most of us associate investing with just making money. In…
Podcast Transcript Every portfolio often needs validation. Our ideas are constructed in a particular context and we find that soon thereafter the market context changes dramatically. My own experience from previous bull runs is what comes to mind. When we come out of a bull market, we tend to think…
Podcast Transcript: Clearly, our markets have walked into a crisis we could have avoided. It was in good measure… our own making. Too much liquidity chasing stocks had made markets way too expensive. But, investors kept pouring money into SIPs. And the markets refused to correct despite FII’s selling…
Podcast Transcript: I met a friend after long years. He had been around the world, worked in many countries, and seen the best and worst of the oil booms. In fact, he worked in that sector and was slowly getting ready to retire. We go a long way…
Podcast Transcript When we find valuations at extremes, it usually is at the most difficult time. We struggle to decide how to deal with them. Mostly, amongst us, the risk averse find it convenient not to deal with them. We find it natural to do nothing. We avoid them. Our…
Podcast Transcript: Events are flowing thick and fast. Let us look at macros first. A falling rupee. Rising oil. Spiking prospects of food prices. Rising inflation. Looming trade battles. The setting reset has already started reflecting in stock prices. A sharp cut in midcap stocks and indices reflects a clear…
Podcast Transcript: When markets reach all time highs we are always told SIPs are the best way to invest in equity. Just starting an SIP is seems as a formula for success. Initially, this works extremely well. But, when markets peak out, the problems begin. While all of know…
Podcast Transcript: We attribute investment success to many things. Most of these attributes tend to be external factors. The easy list of attributes tends to gravitate towards luck, timing and capital. But these are intangibles without clear patterns and to-do methods. Often, they are best explained only in hindsight.…
Podcast Transcript: When markets are overvalued, what should an investor do? Should we buy overvalued stocks which we really like? Or, should we stay in cash? Or, should we go where others don’t dare to go and invest? This was the dilemma of 2017-18. This dilemma was not merely that…