Just four months ago, the markets were showing consensus on the end of the extended market run enjoyed by tech stocks. “Where is the growth? What will happen to Indian tech if automation and Artificial Intelligence take off?”. The cynics were having a field day.
People were clearly mixing up job creation and profitability. The fact that Cognizant had guided positively did not convince analysts, fund managers and investors alike. As TCS came out with its annual numbers, there was a numbing silence among all three sections. Few fund managers had bet on the stock.
We could well see a similar state returning in a bluechip company from another sector. The surprises may recur in more sectors. Writing off a great company will always force us to write back our judgements. In the end, Mr Market is the third umpire who can overrule, recall a dismissed player, and change the fate of your investment game.
As this results season progresses, we are not going to stop being surprised. Many judgements may be tested badly and need a quick revision.